Bull Market Strategies – Overview

There is a lot of talk of 2013 being a “bull market” year. Reports that India will open the gates for FDI, political parties speeding up decisions and heavy investment in critically needed areas have pushed the Nifty from around 4,600 at the beginning of 2012 to close to 6,000 towards the end. Are we already in the bull market or is it just the beginning as the reports claim to say? Well, let’s say that you foresee a bullish trend for the coming months but maybe not immediately. Let’s learn about bull market strategies that pays you money in a rising market and hedges you for a neutral market.

Protective Put Strategy

Strategy: Buy 1 Lot of Future/Equity + Buy 1 Lot of ATM Put

A protective put strategy involves buying 1 lot of the underlying and 1 lot of at-the-money put option. It is a type of synthetic long call. Use it when you see the market going upwards but want to protect yourself from short term losses. If you are already long on the underlying buy the put to secure yourself from potential losses but still leaving yourself with unlimited profit potential. Let’s see an example of this used with the Nifty. Here’s a protective put call payoff graph:

protective put payoff graph

A protective put payoff graph

Say I bought Tata Motors Jan Future and Tata Motors Jan Put 320 (At The Money) on January 1st. This is how my profit potential plays out from Jan 1 through Jan 24. [You can pull end of day (EOD) prices up at http://nseindia.com/index_nse.htm by typing the stock symbol on the top and pressing “Get Quote.”]

On Jan 1st, I bought 1 lot (1000 shares) TataMotors Jan Fut at Rs. 318.90 and 1 lot of TataMotors Jan 320 PE at Rs. 11.65. Here’s what the results would look like during 24 days.

DateJanFutureJan320PutFuture P&LPut P&LTotal P&L
Jan 1318.911.65000
Jan 2319.211.250.3-0.4-0.1
Jan 3319.8510.150.95-1.5-0.55
Jan 4317.810.6-1.1-1.05-2.15
Jan 7315.611.5-3.3-0.15-3.45
Jan 8316.7510.45-2.15-1.2-3.35
Jan 9328.95.3510-6.33.7
Jan 10335.153.616.25-8.058.2
Jan 11331.854.0512.95-7.65.35
Jan 14329.854.310.95-7.353.6
Jan 153333.214.1-8.455.65
Jan 16320.357.551.45-4.1-2.65
Jan 17329.44.1510.5-7.53
Jan 18329.33.810.4-7.852.55
Jan 21324.64.65.7-7.05-1.35
Jan 22319.656.10.75-5.55-4.8
Jan 23313.559.2-5.35-2.45-7.8
Jan 24292.8527.5-26.0515.85-10.2

At the end of the 24 days, my put option made Rs. 15.85 (in reality it is Rs. 15.85 * 1000, but for simplicity’s sake we will keep all numbers at a per share level), while my future lost Rs. 26.05 totaling to a loss of Rs. 10.20. While we are still at a loss, it is good to know that if we didn’t hedge our position using a protective put, we would have been down Rs. 26.05 instead of just Rs. 10.20.

Now here’s the kicker — this is the same exact payout as going on a Long Call. The protective put is known as a Synthetic Long Call because of this shared attribute. Take a look at the next strategy in our Bull Market Strategies series — a standard long call.

Long Call

Strategy: Buy 1 Lot of ATM Call

The payoff graph is identical to the protective put strategy above:

long call payoff graph

A long call payoff graph

Let’s say that instead of the protective put strategy, I execute a long call. That is, on Jan 1st, I buy 1 lot of TataMotors Jan 320 CE at Rs. 10.45. Here’s what the results would look like:

DateJan320CallCall P&L
Jan 110.450
Jan 210.3-0.15
Jan 310-0.45
Jan 48.4-2.05
Jan 77.15-3.3
Jan 87.4-3.05
Jan 913.93.45
Jan 1018.458
Jan 1115.55.05
Jan 14143.55
Jan 1515.755.3
Jan 167.9-2.55
Jan 1713.453
Jan 1812.852.4
Jan 219.25-1.2
Jan 225.75-4.7
Jan 233.1-7.35
Jan 240.6-9.85

Notice that at the end of the 24th day, my total P&L is a loss of Rs. 9.85. Not too far from the protective put strategy up above.

Conclusion

While both bull market strategies have similar payout graphs, there are some key differences and uses to note:

  • Use the protective put strategy if you already own shares and want to hedge against it
  • The long call strategy requires less margin than the protective put strategy
  • Even after the options expire, the protective put strategy leaves you with shares on hand if you bought equity
  • Transaction costs for the protective put strategy are higher than the long call strategy by itself

Use either strategy if you think the market is bound to go up even more in the coming months. You can look at picking up futures and options that expire later down in the year if you want to give yourself a longer timeframe. There are more bull market strategies that help investors make money during a market run. We will cover those later.

Shrinivas Viswanath

Shrinivas Viswanath

Shrinivas enjoys working on web and desktop technology. Developing products that enhance user experience and emphasize simplicity are his passion. While he's not busy fixing code, he's usually listening to music, running or watching movies.

  • Mcx Tips

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  • dr varinder arora

    buy future protect with put and sell out of money call as in above example tata motar call of 340 or 360 …great upswing not there but loss less